Summary of research line
The research projects address the evaluation of the uncertainties and sources of variation in projected impacts of climate change on agricultural systems and the strategies to addapt cropping systems to new climatic scenarios. These not only depend on the emission scenarios and climate models used for projecting future climates, but also on the impact models used, and the local soil and climatic conditions of the agricultural systems of specific regions of the Iberian Peninsula. First-order impact analysis and adaptation strategies are done at the current highest resolution possible (50x50km2 and 20×20 km2) for specific regions, through reference summer and winter crops, and changes in water use. In this web page are presented most relevant projects and contributions, for a complete list please visit Observatorio UPM.
Most relevant projects
RAINS: Resilient Irrigations Solutions.
Project financed by: European Commission (Grant agreement number 101181890)
Institutions involved: 8 partners coordinated by Agricultores de la Vega de Valencia
Duration: November-2024 to October-2028
Research leader of the project UPM: L. Lassaletta
AgroesceNa-NEXT: Towards a roadmap to increase nitrogen circularity through crop and livestock reconnection and ammonia abatement strategies in crop fertilization.
Project financed by: CICYT ( PID2023-152562OB-I00)
Duration: September-2024 to December-2027
Research leader: L. Lassaletta and Alberto Sanz-Cobeña
AgroSceNA-Up. Upscaling Crop Management Scenarios for sustainable Mediterranean cropping systems through Nitrogen lost Abatement: from the plot to the national scale.
Project financed by: CICYT ( PID2019-107972RB-I00)
Duration: June-2020 to May-2023
Research leader: L. Lassaletta and Alberto Sanz-Cobeña
Solutions for improving Agroecosystem and Crop Efficiency for water and nutrient use (SolACE)
Project financed by: European Commission (Grant agreement number 727247)
Institutions involved: 24 partners coordinated by INRA (France)
Duration: May-2017 to April-2023
Research leader of the project UPM: M. Quemada
Multiscale climate variability. Agricultural and economic impacts MULCLIVAR. Subproject II: ACER-Agro: Integrated Assessment of Climatic Hazards and Economic Risks: Adapting Agricultural Systems in Spain
Project financed by MINECO: CGL2012-38923-C02-02
Duration: January 2013-June 2016
Research leader: María Inés Minguez
Environmental Risk and Impact Assessment of the PepsiCo Crop Sourcing Locations.
Project financed by: PepsiCo Europe
Duration: 2014-2015
Research leader: Alberto Garrido- CEIGRAM
AgSystems researchers: C.G. Hernández, M.I. Mínguez, M. Ruiz-Ramos
Most relevant publications
Articles in JCR journals
Gabriel, JL; Allende-Montalbán, R; Nieto-Taladriz, MT; de Andrés, EF; Gandía, ML; Martín-Lammerding, D; Porcel, MA; Santín-Montanya, MI; San-Juan-Heras, R; Lázaro-López, A; Tenorio, JL. 2025. Sowing date and cycle length as wheat climate change adaptation tools under Mediterranean conditions. EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF AGRONOMY. 170:127738.
Heredia; MR; Torres-Navarrete; Y; Acurio-Gallardo; M; Torres-Miño; C; Heredia-Rengifo; F; Díaz-Ambrona; CGH; Toulkeridis; T. 2025. Perception of climate change – The case of the indigenous Kichwa in the Ecuadorian Amazon. Multidisciplinary Science Journal. 7(4).
Leon, Haridian del Pilar; Martinez, Sara; Delgado, Maria del Mar; Gabriel, Jose L; Alvarez, Sergio. 2025. Plant and Soil Responses to Concrete and Basalt Amendments Under Elevated CO2: Implications for Plant Growth, Enhanced Weathering and Carbon Sequestration. Agriculture (Switzerland). 15(23):2435.
Pohanková, E; Hlavinka, P; Kersebaum, KC; Nendel, C; Rodríguez, A; Balek, J; Balkovic, J; Dubrovsky, M; Hoogenboom, G; Moriondo, M; Olesen, JE; Pullens, JWM; Rotter, RP; Ruiz-Ramos, M; Shelia, V; Skalsky, R; Hoffmann, MP; Takác, J; Thaler, S; Eitzinger, J; Dibari, C; Ferrise, R; Leolini, L; Bohuslav, J; Bláhová, M; Fischer, M; Trnka, M. 2025. Climate change impacts on two European crop rotations via an ensemble of models. EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF AGRONOMY. 164:127456.
Bracho-Mujica, G; Rötter, RP; Haakana, M; Palosuo, T; Fronzek, S; Asseng, S; Yi, C; Ewert, F; Gaiser, T; Kassie, B; Paff, K; Rezaei, EE; Rodríguez, A; Ruiz-Ramos, M; Srivastava, AK; Stratonovitch, P; Tao, FL; Semenov, MA. 2024. Effects of changes in climatic means, variability, and agro-technologies on future wheat and maize yields at 10 sites across the globe. Agricultural And Forest Meteorology. 346:109887.
Pohanková, E; Hlavinka, P; Kersebaum, KC; Nendel, C; Rodríguez, A; Balek, J; Dubrovsky, M; Gobin, A; Hoogenboom, G; Moriondo, M; Olesen, EJ; Rötter, R; Ruiz-Ramos, M; Shelia, V; Stella, T; Hoffmann, MP; Takác, J; Eitzinger, J; Dibari, C; Ferrise, R; Bohuslav, J; Bláhová, M; Trnka, M. 2024. Expected effects of climate change on the soil organic matter content related to contrasting agricultural management practices based on a crop model ensemble for locations in Czechia. European Journal of Agronomy. 156:127165.
Hewitt, S; Hernández-Montes, E; Dhingra, A; Keller, M. 2023. Impact of heat stress, water stress, and their combined effects on the metabolism and transcriptome of grape berries. Scientific Reports. 13(1):9907.
Lorite IJ; Cabezas JM; Ruiz-Ramos M; de la Rosa R; Soriano MA; León L; Santos C; Gabaldón-Leal C. 2022. Enhancing the sustainability of Mediterranean olive groves through adaptation measures to climate change using modelling and response surfaces. Agricultural And Forest Meteorology. 313.
Zhao J; Bindi M; Eitzinger J; Ferrise R; Gaile Z; Gobin A; Holzkämper A; Kersebaum KC; Kozyra J; Kriaučiūnienė Z; Loit E; Nejedlik P; Nendel C; Niinemets Ü; Palosuo T; Peltonen-Sainio P; Potopová V; Ruiz-Ramos M; Reidsma P; Rijk B; Trnka M; van Ittersum MK; Olesen JE. 2022. Priority for climate adaptation measures in European crop production systems. European Journal Of Agronomy. 138.
Cabezas, J. M.; Ruiz-Ramos, M.; Soriano, M. A.; Santos, C.; Gabaldon-Leal, C.; Lorite, I. J. 2021. Impact of climate change on economic components of Mediterranean olive orchards. Agricultural Water Management. 248. Code:10.1016/j.agwat.2021.106760.
Rodríguez A; Pérez-López D; Centeno A; Ruiz-Ramos M. 2021. Viability of temperate fruit tree varieties in Spain under climate change according to chilling accumulation. Agricultural Systems. 186.
Cabezas JM; Ruiz-Ramos M; Soriano MA; Gabaldón-Leal C; Santos C; Lorite IJ. 2020. Identifying adaptation strategies to climate change for Mediterranean olive orchards using impact response surfaces. Agricultural Systems. 185(102937).
. Falconnier GN; Corbeels M; Boote KJ; Affholder F; Adam M; MacCarthy DS; Ruane AC; Nendel C; Whitbread AM; Justes É; Ahuja LR; Akinseye FM; Alou IN; Amouzou KA; Anapalli SS; Baron C; Basso B; Baudron F; Bertuzzi P; Challinor AJ; Chen Y; Deryng D; Elsayed ML; Faye B; Gaiser T; Galdos M; Gayler S; Gerardeaux E; Giner M; Grant B; Hoogenboom G; Ibrahim ES; Kamali B; Kersebaum KC; Kim SH; van der Laan M; Leroux L; Lizaso JI; Maestrini B; Meier EA. 2020. Modelling climate change impacts on maize yields under low nitrogen input conditions in sub-Saharan Africa. Global Change Biology. 26(10):5942-5964.
Gomara, I; Bellocchi, G; Martin, R; Rodriguez-Fonseca, B; Ruiz-Ramos, M. 2020. Influence of climate variability on the potential forage production of a mown permanent grassland in the French Massif Central. Agricultural And Forest Meteorology. 280(UNSP 107768).
Lorite IJ; Cabezas-Luque JM; Arquero O; Gabaldón-Leal C; Santos C; Rodríguez A; Ruiz-Ramos M; Lovera M. 2020. The role of phenology in the climate change impacts and adaptation strategies for tree crops: a case study on almond orchards in Southern Europe. Agricultural And Forest Meteorology. 294(108142).
Tao F; Palosuo T; Rötter RP; Díaz-Ambrona CGH; Inés Mínguez M; Semenov MA; Kersebaum KC; Cammarano D; Specka X; Nendel C; Srivastava AK; Ewert F; Padovan G; Ferrise R; Martre P; Rodríguez L; Ruiz-Ramos M; Gaiser T; Höhn JG; Salo T; Dibari C; Schulman AH. 2020. Why do crop models diverge substantially in climate impact projections? A comprehensive analysis based on eight barley crop models. Agricultural And Forest Meteorology. 281(UNSP 107851).